A model produced by the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation and published Friday forecasts a “most likely” daily death toll of 1,907 on Election Day, roughly double the current toll. Some places will peak around Thanksgiving, some places will peak around Christmas, some places not until January and February,” Noymer said. AD“I wouldn’t foresee anything happening between now and the election that would change the dynamics of the election,” Rubin said. “A pandemic virus is different, because most of us do not have prior immunity to this virus,” Foxman said. “We are collectively in control of how many cases or deaths there are,” Marc Lipsitch, an epidemiologist at Harvard, said in an email.

Source: Washington Post September 05, 2020 13:06 UTC