The lack of U.S. casualties, together with the president's own tweet following the strikes that "all is well", suggest that will not happen. Behind the scenes, perhaps inevitably, what may really drive events are domestic politics in the United States, Iran and Iraq. In Yemen, the United States has already ceased refuelling Saudi jets, while European states, particularly Germany, have scaled back or stopped military exports to Riyadh. Proxy confrontations will continue, but they may do so largely fuelled by local actors and with much less involvement by the United States and its allies. Recent months have seen growing anti-government protests in both Iraq and Iran, with Soliemani seen a major driver of the brutal and often lethal response to both.

Source: Libya Today January 08, 2020 10:52 UTC