For example, with the yield curve inverting, perhaps there's roughly a 30% chance of a recession within a year. However, what matters more is how investors will fare through the next recession. 2008 Was Unusually BadFirst off, 2008 was a very bad recession. The 2007-2009 recession lasted about two thirds as long and had more than double the impact of the typical U.S. post-war recession. Thus the next recession will likely be a good news and bad news story for U.S. investors.

Source: Forbes May 18, 2019 23:37 UTC