Since 2011, their record on the “Big” and “Other” plays we typically highlight here is 225.5-184-11.5 (55.1% win percentage). Here is the win probability, point spread and score M/P has calculated for Super Bowl LI:Atlanta Falcons vs. New England Patriots, 6:30 p.m. ET, SundayM/P Forecast: Patriots 65.2%; chance of winning; Falcons 34.8%Vegas: Patriots -3; M/P Line: Patriots -4.5Patriots Offense vs. Falcons DefenseTom Brady will primarily look to pick the Atlanta defense apart with quick, short passes as his trademark. This is a big key in the Falcons being fourth-best since the 1970 AFL-NFL merger in yards per play.

Source: Wall Street Journal February 04, 2017 16:18 UTC