Clinton is forecast to pick up 332 Electoral College votes against 206 for Republican Donald Trump, Moody's Analytics predicted on Tuesday in the final update of its model before Election Day on Nov. 8. The Reuters-Ipsos States of the Nation project also predicts a Clinton win, with a 95 percent probability of her winning at least 278 electoral votes. The Moody's Analytics model is based on a combination of state-level economic conditions and political history, and has correctly called the outcome of each presidential election since Republican Ronald Reagan unseated Democrat Jimmy Carter in 1980. The economic factors Moody's measures include the two-year percentage changes in real personal income per household, as well as house and gasoline prices. Among the political factors weighed, Moody's said the most important is the share of the vote in any one state that went to the incumbent party in the previous election.

Source: The Star November 01, 2016 23:05 UTC