This move demonstrates a classic two-level game where a leader negotiates with a foreign adversary while simultaneously ensuring political stability at home. AdvertisementThe link between Persian Gulf stability and domestic inflation is a lived reality. By accepting a ceasefire, Trump avoided doubling down on a failing strategy. Ultimately, this ceasefire was not driven by any change in Iranian behaviour but by the realisation that the war had become an electoral liability. The stability this ceasefire brings may last only until the next political calculation is made, and India would do well to plan accordingly.

Source: Indian Express April 08, 2026 10:52 UTC