Average headline inflation is expected to rise slightly in 2026, driven by increasing prices of agricultural products and the recovery of the tourism sector, according to the Trade Policy and Strategy Office (TPSO). The TPSO estimates average headline inflation of 0-1.0%, with a midpoint of 0.5%, rising from a 0.14% contraction in 2025. He said the headline inflation for the first quarter of 2026 will continue its downward trend within the range of -0.5% to 0.0% with a midpoint of -0.25%. Key contributing factors include lower oil prices year-on-year and weak economic demand due to the lack of stimulus measures during the election period. He said Brent crude oil prices have not fluctuated despite these developments.

Source: Bangkok Post January 07, 2026 23:15 UTC