Dollar hits 2-month high vs yen on heightened Fed hike expectations - News Summed Up

Dollar hits 2-month high vs yen on heightened Fed hike expectations


TOKYO: The dollar rose to a two-month high against the yen and extended its gains against the euro on Thursday after a hawkish-sounding Federal Reserve heightened expectations for an interest rate hike in December.After concluding a closely watched two-day policy meeting on Wednesday, the Fed left interest rates unchanged as expected but signalled it still expects one more increase by the end of the year despite a recent bout of low inflation The US central bank, as anticipated, also said it would begin in October to reduce its approximately $4.2 trillion in holdings of US Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities acquired in the years after the 2008 financial crisis.Interest rate futures traders are now pricing in about a 70 per cent chance of a December Fed rate hike, up from above 50 per cent prior to the Fed meeting, according to CME's FedWatch Tool.The euro shed 0.15 per cent to $1.1877 after dropping 0.8 per cent the previous day, when it snapped a four-session winning run.The dollar was 0.4 per cent higher at 112.640 yen, its highest since July 18. Still, the greenback's gains against its Japanese counterpart were seen to be relatively limited. "The Fed will likely stick to its intent of hiking rates one more time in 2017 and three more times in 2018. But it also cut its long-term interest rate projection and this has somewhat slowed the dollar's gains versus the yen by causing the US yield curve to flatten," said Yukio Ishizuki, senior currency strategist at Daiwa Securities.While the Fed's latest policy stance was viewed as hawkish for the most part, the central bank did lower again its estimated long-term "neutral" interest rate from 3.0 per cent to 2.75 per cent, reflecting concerns about overall economic vitality.In contrast to the Fed, the Bank of Japan's policy decision due later on Thursday is expected to be met with less fanfare as the central bank continues to struggle with sluggish inflation.At a two-day rate review ending on Thursday, the BOJ is widely expected to maintain its short-term interest rate target at minus 0.1 per cent and the 10-year government bond yield target of around zero per cent.The BOJ is also seen maintaining a loose pledge to keep buying bonds so its holdings increase at an annual pace of 80 trillion yen ($710.86 billion), in contrast to the Fed's plan to steadily pull back from crisis-era measures. "While the BOJ meeting will highlight the US-Japan monetary policy divergence, the currency market is likely to take its policy decision in its stride," said Ishizuki at Daiwa Securities.The dollar index against a basket of six major currencies was up 0.1 per cent at 92.623 and near a two-week high of 92.697 set overnight, when it added 0.8 per cent.The New Zealand dollar was down 0.3 per cent at $0.7334 , its rally the previous day petering out against a broadly stronger dollar.The kiwi soared to a 1-1/2-month high of $0.7435 on Wednesday after a poll showed New Zealand's ruling National Party pulled ahead of the rival Labour Party ahead of a general election this weekend.The Australian dollar fell 0.25 per cent to $0.8012.The euro was up 0.15 per cent at 133.665 yen, recovering some of the losses suffered the previous day, when the common currency's slide against the dollar nudged it away from a 21-month high of 134.160 set on Tuesday.


Source: Economic Times September 21, 2017 02:26 UTC



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