Video / Mark Mitchell / Brett Phibbs / Dean Purcell / Michael CraigThere were 20 new cases of Covid-19 in the community on Sunday. Later, Te Pūnaha Matatini experts turned to a more sophisticated form of model, called a stochastic branching process. Epidemiological case data, too, provided information like the fraction of infected people most likely to be asymptomatic – and therefore tough to find through community testing. All of this meant officials could receive a highly-detailed picture, changing in near-real time, as they raced to contain spread. In the event, however, they were able to use a more nimble, separately-built transmission risk model called the Aotearoa Co-incidence Network.

Source: New Zealand Herald September 05, 2021 17:00 UTC