CIMBT predicts H2 gains after government formsThe Thai economy will start to recover in the second half of 2026, depending on how soon the new members of parliament are endorsed, as the Bank of Thailand is unlikely to cut interest rates for the entire year in order to prop up economic growth, says CIMB Thai Bank (CIMBT). "If the economic policies of the new administration can convince investors and attract foreign direct investment, the economy will begin to pick up in the latter half of the year," said Mr Amonthep. "A rate cut would not immediately boost the economy," said Mr Amonthep. "It would take about 6-12 months for a rate cut to take effect, meaning it would help prop up the economy at the end of the year." Instead, the central bank may possibly devise targeted monetary policies that support vulnerable groups, especially heavily-indebted households, he noted.

Source: Bangkok Post February 13, 2026 15:08 UTC