Current UK polling trends from December 2019 to April 2024: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election . The move to adopt First Past the Post in all local elections was designed to help the Conservatives in places like London. Unfortunately, local elections in the UK turn into referendums on the performance of party performance nationally. The local election results and the recent Tory defections to Labour are further signs of a government in its dying days. I will brave one prediction, the UK election is likely to be in November this year.

Source: The Guardian May 21, 2024 05:02 UTC