(Matt McClain/The Washington Post)Here's a striking stat: The House of Representatives has flipped parties only three times in the past 60 years. But while Republicans are publicly bullish they'll keep the House, nonpartisan analysts are leaning toward Democrats. Democrats need a total of 23 pickups to take back the House, and there are 23 Republicans sitting in districts Hillary Clinton won. A notable number of House Republicans who have held their districts for years are leaving competitive districts in California, Pennsylvania and Florida. Election forecasters say Democrats need a six- to eight-point advantage in this kind of poll, called a generic ballot, to win a House majority.
Source: Washington Post July 27, 2018 16:22 UTC