And Trump’s latest polling rise is particularly significant because it might be based on more honest survey respondents. That said, the size of the bump in polling averages matters because national outcomes don’t neatly translate geographically. Three of the four latest polls that showed Trump ahead of Clinton were conducted via telephone. Related: 2016 Republican national convention: a look back – in picturesPost-convention popularity bounces have occurred in previous election cycles, too – and they’re not always sustained. In the past week, Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has risen 3.5 points in national polling averages.

Source: The Guardian July 25, 2016 17:33 UTC