Professor Tim Spector, an epidemiologist at King's College London, said SAGE had repeatedly made bleak forecasts that never came true, 'perhaps to avoid complacency' among the public. The expert group included modelling from three different universities - Imperial College London, the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM) and Warwick University. LSHTM infectious diseases expert Professor Graham Medley, who is also a chief modeller at SAGE subgroup SPI-M, told MailOnline today: 'As we unlock and contact rates increase, so the the virus has more chance to spread. 'The problem with these SAGE documents, and I've been saying this for the past year, is that they are not actual evidence. Most scientists told MailOnline the most realistic assumptions were those made by the team at Imperial College London.

Source: The Nation April 06, 2021 15:00 UTC