Ontario will release updated modelling on Thursday forecasting the course of its second wave of COVID-19, as some epidemiologists already project the province will surpass 2,000 new cases per day by early December. The provincial government has placed only two of Ontario's 34 public health units in the "red zone" alert level: Toronto (starting this weekend) and Peel Region. The modelling did suggest the rate of increase in new COVID-19 cases was slower than it had been in previous weeks, but infections were still on the rise. Modelling the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic is proving more challenging than the first, said Tuite, because so many factors that influence the infection rate are shifting. And that means she can't predict when Ontario's second wave will peak, nor how high it will grow.

Source: CBC News November 12, 2020 09:00 UTC