The likelihood of Whakaari/White Island erupting in the next 24 hours is 35 to 50 per cent, scientists say. GNS There's medium likelihood of another White Island eruption with impacts outside the marked vent area in the next 24 hours, GNS Science said. The 35 to 50 per cent result is classed as medium likelihood, GNS Science volcanic hazard and risk modeller Natalia Deligne said. Since the eruption, GNS Science experts have been calculating eruption likelihoods at White Island for 24-hour periods, Deligne said. GNS SCIENCE This GNS graph shows volcanic tremor and alert levels at Whakaari/White Island during and around the December 9 eruption.

Source: Stuff December 13, 2019 20:44 UTC