(Adrian Raftery/University of Washington)The research is significant because 2 degrees Celsius has often been regarded as the threshold for so-called “dangerous” climate change. One scenario presented in the study finds a 13 percent chance that 1.5 degrees is already baked in; another finds a 32 percent chance. [These experts say we have three years to get climate change under control. On Monday I spoke with Glen Peters, a climate policy expert at the Center for International Climate Research in Oslo, about the two latest papers. It takes into account past climate policies, he notes, but not the possibility of a major upsurge in global climate action in coming years, unlike what we’ve seen previously.

Source: Washington Post July 31, 2017 16:07 UTC