The political pendulum in India's most important battleground state has started shifting away from the BJP and towards the Samajwadi Party-Congress alliance. The SP-Congress alliance is projected to bag 33.2% vote share. The SP-Congress alliance was finally announced on January 22. In the past one month, there has been a significant Yadav and Muslim consolidation in favour of the SP-Congress alliance. In Eastern UP, predicts Axis, the BJP will bag 89 seats, Cong+SP will bag 55 seats and the BSP will get 22 seats.

Source: India Today January 31, 2017 14:37 UTC