They concluded a second wave could be prevented if 75% of those with symptoms were found and tested and 68% of their contacts were traced, or if 87% of people with symptoms were found and 40% of their contacts tested. Panovska-Griffiths, lecturer in mathematical modelling at University College London, told BBC radio that the worst scenarios could still be avoided. “Importantly, what we find is that it is possible to avoid a second epidemic wave if enough people with symptomatic infections can be diagnosed. There is total humility in government about that,” junior local government minister Simon Clarke told BBC radio. “We fully accept that we need to keep driving those numbers up,” he said.

Source: bd News24 August 04, 2020 07:52 UTC