A war is looming in Lebanon. For months, Israel and Hizbullah have traded drones, rockets and missiles (see charts). It would be the most intense conflict in the region in decades—a calamity for Israel and a disaster for Lebanon. American and European diplomats continue to shuttle between Israel and Lebanon, hoping, with less and less optimism, to persuade Hizbullah to withdraw 7-10km away from the border. Even then, the result would be a tenuous peace at best, with the threat of cross-border raids by Hizbullah on Israel dissuading many Israelis from returning.

Source: The North Africa Journal July 03, 2024 00:23 UTC