Re-analysing data from a previous study, they found that the first infection with common cold coronaviruses occurs on average at 3 to 5 years of age. An efficient vaccination rollout could shorten the timeline to a year, or even just six months, for the coronavirus to become an endemic infection. Natural infection with the coronavirus produces a strong immune response in the nose and throat. Ultimately, Lavine’s model rests on the assumption that the new coronavirus is similar to the common cold coronaviruses. “Their prediction of it’s becoming like common cold coronaviruses is where I’d put a lot of my money,” Lipsitch said.

Source: bd News24 January 12, 2021 18:33 UTC