But in 2020, Mr. Trump and Joseph R. Biden Jr. face a drastically changed electorate. Two years ago, even without the president on the ballot, white voters without college degrees turned out in numbers not seen in a midterm election in decades. It would mean defying the polls again.”But Mr. Trump has appeared to generate a countervailing enthusiasm among both educated white voters and minority voters. Even in battlegrounds, a decline in white voters without college degrees. Beyond 2020, these trends foreshadow further strengthening of both minority and college-educated white cohorts at the expense of white voters without college degrees.

Source: New York Times October 22, 2020 09:00 UTC