“It’s always a mess with Hillary,” Trump has taken to saying, and that’s the narrative he wants confirmed, cycle after cycle, week after week. PhotoSo we’ve established that Donald Trump can lead Hillary Clinton in a poll, indeed in several polls. The same might hold for what Trump needs from the Clintons and their scandals. If this theory is right, then in the fall campaign Trump would benefit more from economic jitters — stock market hiccups, a spike in gas prices — than he would from a sudden recession. Trump is benefiting from having clinched his nomination; Clinton is suffering through the last stand of Bernie Sanders.

Source: New York Times May 26, 2016 01:48 UTC