In fact, half of the districts on CNN's inaugural ranking of the top 10 House districts most likely to flip partisan control are GOP-held seats, including the top two. That's why two vulnerable incumbents who represent districts carried by the opposite party's 2016 presidential nominee don't make the top 10. As is a newly-held Republican district in California that flipped parties earlier this year in a special election. That should boost Democrat Carolyn Bourdeaux, who came about 400 votes shy of defeating Republican Rep. The Democratic freshman won by less than 2 points in 2018 in a district Trump carried by 10 points.

Source: CNN September 01, 2020 10:07 UTC