After all, they are aware – painfully so – of just how complicated election aftermaths in the Federal Republic can be. In fact, the most likely outcome is that all three will fan out around the 20 percent mark: 25 percent will be enough to be the largest party. The lack of a clear mandate won’t stop the two largest parties from claiming that they have one. Even if the Union remains the largest party, any increase in vote share will allow the SPD to claim victory. And if Olaf Scholz says anything even approaching the following, get ready for yet another GroKo: “Die Union ist abgewählt worden.

Source: The Local September 23, 2021 15:00 UTC