I think it is highly unlikely now that National can win the 2023 election. If we look at John Key 180 days out from each of his elections, National was beating Labour by double digits, under Luxon, National are beating Labour by 2 points. Will the Class Left do that for the Greens this election as the Greens barely mange to poll above their 2020 result? NATIONAL and ACT: National are 2 points ahead and ACT peaked out. The policy difference between Labour and the Greens is almost 90% the same, but the policy difference between National and ACT are light years apart.

Source: New Zealand Herald May 26, 2023 03:25 UTC