Saji recently warned a positive IOD was back and would peak in November, leading to heavier rains in Kenya and other East African countries. In September, Saji told Weather.com that positive IODs tend to occur every 10 years. The Kenya Meteorological Department has also attributed the ongoing heavy rains to the dipole. “This constitutes a positive Indian Ocean Dipole that is favourable for good rainfall over much of East Africa,” said Met director Stella Aura. Cases of flooding are also highly probable.”By October 21, the heavy rains in Kenya had displaced at least 1,000 people and left at least 10 dead.

Source: The Star November 20, 2019 05:03 UTC