I went 17-14-1 against the spread (ATS) in my first-round picks. This year, teams getting less than 50 percent of the spread bets have gone 30-19 ATS and teams getting less than 40 percent have gone 19-9 ATS. For Kansas, an alternate trend: Top-seeded teams coming off back-to-back ATS wins have gone 20-8 ATS in the Sweet 16. Sweet 16 and Elite Eight underdogs of at least three points went 52-32 ATS between 2005 and 2014 but have gone just 4-11 ATS over the past two NCAA tournaments. Teams getting at least three points with a total of 136 or less have gone 23-11 ATS in the Sweet 16 since 2005.

Source: Washington Post March 23, 2017 14:06 UTC