Before considering whether Boris Johnson is about to fall from office, first try solving this: “Tom W is a graduate student. Here is a list of nine fields of graduate specialisation. Rank in order the likelihood of Tom W being a student in these areas.”Most of us would find this problem fairly easy to crack. But a funny thing happens when we learn a bit more about Tom W. Our ranking often becomes less accurate. SponsoredIn his book Thinking, Fast and Slow Daniel Kahneman explains that when we are given a story about Tom W’s personality we tend to forget the big numbers,

Source: The Times December 22, 2021 04:53 UTC