The worse news: the few forecasters who will accurately predict the next recession will also be predicting recession for years of prosperity. Even though forecasts are not perfect, there are some warning signs that business leaders can use to assess the risk of a recession in the coming year. Economists (including myself) did not predict the 2008-09 recession, nor the recessions of 2001, 1990, or 1982. Here are the indicators that will be most useful for looking at the risk of a recession. Negative values, meaning short-term interest rates are higher than long-term rates, are red flags for recession, though not totally reliable.

Source: Forbes May 06, 2018 12:00 UTC