ADADPrecisely how many weeks into the future coronavirus forecast models are reliable is an open scientific question, yet it’s one we’re tackling. ADADIn the case of forecast models, however, accurate numbers, not just relative comparisons, are paramount. By now we should know that long-term coronavirus forecasts leave much to be desired. In early April, for example, the United States had seen fewer than 5,000 deaths from covid-19. Other models cited by the White House Coronavirus Task Force showed much larger numbers — up to 240,000 total deaths.

Source: Washington Post September 15, 2020 18:25 UTC