Two months later came a peace deal, with Russia the winner: It mediated a ceasefire that placed the Kremlin’s ostensibly peacekeeping boots on the ground. America watched idly as this happened.As Armenia’s traditional protector, Russia held the only leverage to convince Armenia to sign this ceasefire. It is now gatekeeper to a region central to Europe’s energy diversification (reducing the role of Russian imports). Once Russians occupy the area, the Russian state is obliged to step in.It is a classic of the Kremlin repertoire. American companies should invest in infrastructure and energy projects in the region so as to limit Russia’s room for maneuver.

Source: Libya Today December 23, 2020 10:03 UTC