SAGE was not charged with the economic modelling of policy options and that is beyond the remit of this article. Most applications of mathematical modelling allow for many repeats of this cycle over periods of weeks, months, or even years. Box 1 Sources of uncertainty that affect accuracy of modelling scenarios Features of epidemiological models Model structure Does the model accurately capture key dynamics of disease spread? Pandemic policy making differs from normal time policy making in several ways. Both are members of Independent SAGE and have been active in helping explain mathematical models and their role in policy to the public during the pandemic.

Source: The Times September 15, 2022 15:37 UTC