Piyabutr Saengkanokkul, of the Progressive Movement, who appears obsessed with the French Revolution, implied in a recent Facebook post that the monarchy has two choices -- either it agrees with reform or faces a revolution. A revolution by the people without military support has a remote chance of being successful as attested by the 2011 Arab Spring uprisings. Zoltan Barany wrote in the Journal of Democracy back in October 2011 that support of the armed forces is a necessary condition for a revolution to succeed. In Tunisia and Egypt, he said the military backed the revolution while in Libya and Yemen, the military was split. The military rebellion against Philippine dictator Ferdinand Marcos was also instrumental in the success of the People's People Revolution in 1986.

Source: Bangkok Post October 25, 2020 23:26 UTC