While the situation in Venezuela remains confused, events on Tuesday demonstrate once again that the likeliest resolution to the country’s seemingly endless political crisis lies in the hands of the military. The Trump administration’s power-play to bully Maduro out of the presidency appeared to run out of steam weeks ago. Tuesday’s developments in Caracas indicate that at least part of the military has now broken with the regime. Rather than the start of a military uprising, Tuesday instead looked like another attempt by Guaidó to force the military’s hand into abandoning Maduro. And if the military refuse to come over to Guaidó en masse, Maduro has every chance of hanging on.

Source: The Irish Times April 30, 2019 19:30 UTC