The Electoral Calculas website has offered a General Election prediction, with Reform UK coming out as favourites. In the 2024 General Election Reform UK received 14.7% of the vote, gaining five seats. The prediction suggests that in the next election, Reform would gain 25.8% of the vote and gain 192 seats. In the 2024 General Election, the Conservatives gained 24.4% of the vote and 121 seats. The probability of Reform UK being the largest party in the next general election is 42%, according to the data.

Source: The Times March 04, 2025 11:07 UTC