Accordingly, the Poll Tracker estimates that the Liberals would be able to win around 186 seats if these support levels were replicated at the ballot box, more than the 170 needed to form a majority government. Their chances of winning at least that many seats with these levels of support are estimated at nearly four-in-five. As the Liberals have surged and the Conservatives have slipped, the other parties have held steady. 2, when the Poll Tracker made its last estimate before Trudeau began his daily pandemic press conferences, the Conservatives stood at 32 per cent, followed by the Liberals at 29.8. Next Conservative leader unlikely to boost support for nowThere are a number of factors working in the Liberals' favour.

Source: CBC News June 26, 2020 07:52 UTC