No votes are yet cast in the 2020 general election, but, with just over two weeks to go until polling day, a change of government is at this point the most likely outcome. This judgment is not just based on the party numbers revealed by the Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI poll, which gave Fianna Fáil a narrow two-point lead over Fine Gael.

Source: The Irish Times January 21, 2020 21:00 UTC