But two years after an election that proved polls and prognosticators wrong, nothing is certain on the eve of the first nationwide elections of the Trump presidency. While he is not on the ballot, Trump himself has acknowledged that the 2018 midterms, above all, represent a referendum on his presidency. Trump’s Republican coalition is increasingly becoming older, whiter, more male and less likely to have a college degree. Those voters have increasingly fled Trump’s Republican Party, turned off by his chaotic leadership style and xenophobic rhetoric. Among white college-educated women, Democrats enjoy a 28-point advantage: 61 percent to 33 percent.

Source: Huffington Post November 05, 2018 13:41 UTC