Staying at the APC party did no provide him with sufficient guarantees of protection and President Buhari apparently could not [or would not] intervene to stop the police investigation into the Offa bank attack. The APC party has seen a substantial erosion among its power base not only at the national level but also at the local and regional levels. On the opposition side, Senate President Saraki is highly likely to announce a presidential bid. As we start this week (second week of August), federal authorities have began to flex their muscles against defecting APC politicians. As the political environment worsens, the level of violence from other sources of conflicts in Nigeria remain elevated as well.

Source: The North Africa Journal August 07, 2018 17:48 UTC