Materials for yes volunteers engaged in phone-bank events say that the Equality Campaign has “purchased access to numbers from commercial databases [to] speak to people across the country”. Callers ask if people have heard about the postal survey, support marriage equality and if they intend to vote to urge them to post their votes immediately. Raue said that of the 19,000 “meaningful conversations”, more than 75% have been with yes voters. Australian Marriage Equality co-chair Alex Greenwich said: “We know a majority of Australians support marriage equality and some demographics are more likely to than not. A similar analysis correctly predicted the outcome of the Irish marriage equality referendum in 2015 but differences in the method of voting may “dilute the predictive power” of the analysis, Pulse acknowledges.

Source: The Guardian September 18, 2017 07:41 UTC