An important signpost of greater regime duress would be the defection of a high-ranking military officer, signaling deeper military discontent with the Maduro government. Beyond the military, strong support from Constituent National Assembly leader, Diosdado Cabello, forms the core political backbone of the Maduro regime. Even if Maduro flees, Cabello and his legislators could maintain the regime if their alliance with the military holds. For example, Maduro has turned to the Russian state-controlled oil company Rosneft to manage oil income and evade US sanctions. Both major parties are split by Brexit, with hard Brexit (more Tory), soft Brexit (risk averse MPs), and remain supporters (more Labour) spread across them both.

Source: Forbes May 07, 2019 21:11 UTC