Republican Ron Estes won a competitive congressional race in Kansas, marking the first special election of the year for a House seat vacated by a Republican lawmaker. But with other special elections looming, it’s worth reinforcing how dramatically bad such a shift would be for Republicans nationally. The 2016 House results were distributed like this, according to data from the Associated Press. It’s tricky to extrapolate outward from Trump’s margins in each district to House results, since Trump won some congressional districts that were held by Democrats. If we apply that shift to the House results?

Source: Washington Post April 12, 2017 15:32 UTC