Washington (CNN) The 2020 election is 620 days away. The data paints a simple but ominous picture for Trump: If the presidential election were held today, he would almost certainly lose. Here's the key insight from the Gallup data"Although much can change between now and Election Day 2020, a job approval rating of 50% or higher would presumably put Trump in good position to win a state in the presidential election. In contrast, the states in which Trump has an approval rating below 40% account for 201 electoral votes. Which puts a pretty fine point on the challenge facing Trump and his 2020 campaign team between now and November 3.

Source: CNN February 23, 2019 00:22 UTC