Of the five pollsters who have reported survey results since the campaign kicked off, four have pegged the CAQ with between 32 and 38 per cent support. The Union Nationale under Maurice Duplessis won a majority government in the 1944 provincial election with just 38 per cent of the vote, the lowest ever in Quebec's history. That core vote was key to the PQ's majority victories in 1994 and 1998 — the last elections in which a party other than the Liberals won a majority. (Ian Barrett/Canadian Press)Today, the PQ under Jean-François Lisée is in third place with only 18.4 per cent support — not enough to make a significant impact. It would take more than just a slip in CAQ support down into the low 30s to push the party into minority territory.

Source: CBC News September 06, 2018 07:52 UTC