When Hillary Clinton lost the presidential election in 2016, public trust in election polling ― which systematically overstated her standing in key states ― took a hit as well. National polling, as pollsters are happy to remind anyone in earshot suggesting otherwise, wasn’t actually that far off in 2016. Even more, distrust has ushered in a new focus on recalibrating public expectations about what horse-race polling can actually tell us ahead of an election. More intractable: State and district-level races often see relatively little polling, a problem that’s certainly persisted through 2018. (Again, polling being an inexact science, not everyone agrees on the magnitude or existence of that shift.)

Source: Huffington Post November 04, 2018 11:00 UTC