The surprise is that nothing surprising has happened — except in the Mideast, where fresh assaults are likely. A big surprise, in second place, is that Harris can’t get traction with Black voters. THE BIGGEST OCTOBER SURPRISE is the intensity and implications of the Gaza war, which is likely to become even more disruptive in the coming days. THE WAR’S SPREAD has alarmed the Harris campaign, which sees the images of dead civilians as complicating her path to victory in key swing states with sizable Arab American and Muslim populations. A MASSIVE ISRAELI STRIKE IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS, WHICH IS LIKELY, will burden the Harris campaign with still another issue that could damage her candidacy.

Source: Washington Post October 17, 2024 09:06 UTC