The IHME model projects that under the most likely scenario, 410,451 people in the United States will have died by Jan. 1. The best-case scenario is 288,381 deaths and worst-case is 620,029, that model forecasts. The worst-case scenario assumes that people and their communities stop taking precautions. The IHME projects that with rigid adherence to social distancing and mask-wearing, 770,000 lives could be saved globally by year’s end. But most experts agree the true death toll is probably higher, with many people dying at home or without having been tested for the virus.

Source: Washington Post September 04, 2020 14:03 UTC