He puts the chances of conventional conflict with North Korea at 50-50 and the chances of nuclear war at 10%. North Korea might respond by lobbing a few artillery shells toward the 35,000 U.S. troops currently stationed in South Korea. North Korea has approximately 11,000 conventional artillery pieces dug into the mountains north of the demilitarized zone. The Pentagon has estimated the potential number of dead in South Korea at 20,000 each day, Givens said. South Korean self-propelled howitzers take part in an exercise at the Mugeon-ri drill field near the demilitarized zone in Paju on Sept. 4.

Source: Los Angeles Times September 25, 2017 09:56 UTC