Liao wrote that US material deterrence and the credibility of international law are indispensable pillars on which Taiwan’s security rests. The realist argument says that the demonstration of effective force and operational sophistication is sufficient deterrence, without the need for the cover of legal or moral legitimacy. One could argue that that realist argument stands in the short term, but is considerably weakened over the long term. For Taiwan, the crucial aspect is whether the chances of a potential war in the Taiwan Strait diminish after the US’ airstrikes. It comes down to the degree to which Xi is paranoid or secure in the Chinese populace’s satisfaction with his stewardship.

Source: Taipei Times March 03, 2026 16:09 UTC